OREMAVEN
XMM 7,722.00 -2.63% YTD +5.6% OM ASX 450.55 -2.56% YTD +0.1% OM PRECIOUS 349.20 -2.24% YTD +2.5% OM EX-PREC 418.91 -2.72% YTD -1.1% XAU 4,115.59 +2.31% YTD -4.9% GLD 375.49 +0.81% YTD -5.2% GDX 85.75 +1.37% YTD -0.0% SIL 77.33 -1.00% YTD -7.3% COPX 70.23 -5.81% YTD -1.8% URNM 40.07 -2.79% YTD -27.0%
2026-11-06
◂ Monitor ORN ASX

Orion Minerals Limited

DFS Unfunded Developer · Copper · Zinc · South Africa · Australia Rating locked: sign in to view v6.2
Last 2026-11-06
A$0.022
1D
—
1M
—
YTD
—
1Y
—
Upside
Locked: sign in to view
Mkt cap
A$197M
EV
A$216M
Cash
A$14.5M
Debt
A$30.9M
5 newer ASX announcements not yet reflected in this valuation

Funding, performance and ownership

Financials & Capital

As of 2026-06-30
Cash A$14.5M Finite
Debt A$30.9M Net cash A$-16.4M
Basic shares 9B 2026-08-28
Runway 3.65 quarters June Appendix 5B cash of A$14.447m divided by quarterly relevant outgoings of A$3.961m; rounded audited year-end cash is A$14.460m. Conditional Glencore and Triple Flag facilities are excluded from undrawn liquidity.

Liquidity

Financial position

FY2026 audit flags material going-concern uncertainty: no mining revenue, A$10.675m annual operating cash outflow and further equity expected in Q4 FY2027. Cash includes no proceeds from still-conditional Glencore Tranche A.

Capital structure

Ownership and dilution

Ordinary shares
9B
Fully diluted
9.7B

FY2026 audited share bridge closes at 8,954,380,361 ordinary shares; the September presentation rounds to 8,954m. July Appendix 3H reports 724,011,404 surviving options, summed mechanically for the fully diluted comparison basis without assuming exercise proceeds.

Security classes2
ClassTypeQuantityStrikeExpiry
Ordinary fully paid sharesOrdinary Share9B——
Aggregate unquoted options across reported strike and expiry classesOption724M——

KPI history

Operating metrics

1 periods
Operating metric source table2
MetricProjectPeriodPeriod typeValueStatus
OtherCompanyFY2026Year-10,675,000 AUD net operating cash flowReported
OtherCompanyFY2026Year-12,687,000 AUD loss before taxReported
Company guidance2
MetricProjectPeriodLowHighStatus
First Uppers Concentrate ProductionprieskaQ3 CY2027—— calendar timingCurrent
Flat Mines Construction StartokiepCY2028—— calendar timingCurrent

Capital history

Capital events

3 events · newest first
DateEventAmountSharesPriceStatusTerms
2026-06-04Ann. 2026-05-22RaisingA$15.4M698M—Completed—
2026-05-31Ann. 2026-04-02DebtZAR 344.5M——Completed—
2025-10-10Ann. 2025-09-30RaisingA$13.8M——Completed—

Contracts and ownership

Material economic arrangements These are deals that can affect sales, costs, funding or ownership. An arrangement marked “Included in valuation” may already be built into a project estimate or the bridge to shareholder value. A separate amount is shown only when one can be estimated; do not add it again.

Complete As Disclosed · as of 2026-09-26

FY2026 annual report plus original Glencore and Triple Flag terms, July financing status and partnership disclosures; no live commodity or FX hedge identified. Contractual details that remain undisclosed are stated rather than inferred.

Binding but undrawn as of September annual report. PCZM receives project funding and delivers concentrate to Glencore; Orion guarantees obligations. Return and final realized-price terms are undisclosed, so the equity model discounts funding probability and retains DFS net smelter assumptions.

Offtake · Conditional
Counterparties
Glencore subsidiary
Applies to
Prieska Copper Zinc Mine · Copper · Zinc
Economic direction
Mixed
Period
From 2026-02-09; no end date stated
Key terms
Tranche A prepayment: 40,000,000 USD
Tranche B prepayment: 210,000,000 USD
Potential early Tranche B draw: 50,000,000 USD
Prepayment return: —
Concentrate products: bulk, copper and zinc
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

PCZM received A$10m early funding and owes Triple Flag 0.8% of future gross revenue; the associated contract liability is not subtracted again after the modelled project cash-flow deduction.

Royalty · Active
Counterparties
TF R&S Canada Limited
Applies to
Prieska Copper Zinc Mine · Copper · Zinc
Economic direction
Burden
Period
From 2022-12-13; no end date stated
Key terms
Gross revenue return: 0.8 percent
Early funding received: 10,000,000 AUD
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

Conditional precious-metals stream would fund development in exchange for payable gold and silver; no draw confirmed at cutoff and a project-specific byproduct delivery schedule is not available for a defensible cash-flow estimate.

Stream · Conditional
Counterparties
Triple Flag International Limited
Applies to
Prieska Copper Zinc Mine · Gold · Silver
Economic direction
Mixed
Period
From 2022-12-13; no end date stated
Key terms
Conditional advance: 80,000,000 USD
Initial gold stream rate: 84 percent payable gold
Initial silver stream rate: 84 percent payable silver
Ongoing metal payment: 10 percent spot value
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

Prieska project cash flows accrue across Orion, IDC, BEE and trust interests. Orion-attributable value uses 53.3%; the remaining IDC shareholder loan remains in consolidated debt bridge.

Joint Venture · Active
Counterparties
Prieska Resources (Pty) Ltd · Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa · Orion Siyathemba Community Trust · Orion Siyathemba Employee Trust
Applies to
Prieska Copper Zinc Mine · Copper · Zinc
Economic direction
Mixed
Period
From 2026-02-27; no end date stated
Key terms
Orion effective interest: 53.3 percent
IDC effective interest: 16.7 percent
BEE partner interest: 20 percent
Community and employee trusts: 10 percent combined
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

Effective New Okiep Mining Company economic shareholding is 51% to Orion; partner claims and shareholder funding are reflected in attributable project value and the consolidated loans balance.

Joint Venture · Active
Counterparties
Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa · Landmark Capital Investments · Orion Nama Khoi Community Company · Orion Nama Khoi Employee Share Scheme
Applies to
Okiep Copper Project - Flat Mines · Copper
Economic direction
Mixed
Period
From 2025-02-05; no end date stated
Key terms
Orion effective interest: 51 percent
IDC interest: 21 percent
Landmark interest: 18 percent
Community and employee trusts: 10 percent combined
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

Orion retains 35% Fraser Range exploration interest while IGO funds work through the first PFS; no project value is assigned absent current technical economics.

Free Carry · Active
Counterparties
IGO Limited · Geological Resources Pty Ltd
Applies to
Fraser Range Nickel-Copper Projects · Nickel · Copper · Cobalt
Economic direction
Benefit
Period
Dates not stated
Key terms
Orion retained interest: 35 percent
IGO carry endpoint: first pre-feasibility study
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

BHP provides equity-free funding and technical support for Northern Cape exploration; no commercial offtake or ownership transfer is disclosed and unproven targets receive no standalone value.

Strategic Partnership · Active
Counterparties
BHP Xplor
Applies to
Prieska Copper Zinc Mine · Okiep Copper Project - Flat Mines · Jacomynspan Nickel-Copper-PGE Project · Copper · Zinc · Nickel
Economic direction
Benefit
Period
From 2026-02-02; no end date stated
Key terms
Equity-free funding: 500,000 USD
Program end: 2026
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

ENPROTEC was selected for a Uppers BOOT concentrator, but contract execution and tariff depend on funding and approvals; no incremental change is made to the DFS cost base without disclosed terms.

Tolling Or Processing · Conditional
Counterparties
ENPROTEC
Applies to
Prieska Copper Zinc Mine · Copper · Zinc
Economic direction
Mixed
Period
Dates not stated
Key terms
Uppers concentrator capacity: 20,000 tonnes per month
Commercial tariff: —
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.

New Okiep Mining Company has exclusive access to the property and carries the final instalment sale liability; the remaining liability is deducted once in the equity bridge.

Other · Active
Counterparties
Mora Plase (Pty) Ltd
Applies to
Okiep Copper Project - Flat Mines · Copper
Economic direction
Mixed
Period
From 2023-12-22; no end date stated
Key terms
Purchase consideration: 36,500,000 ZAR
Remaining carrying liability: 781,000 AUD
Interest: prime plus 2%
How it affects our valuation

No valuation treatment is available for this arrangement.